Low Supply Heats Up Activity, Bidding Wars Across GTA – Toronto Area Real Estate Market Update – March 2023

Low Supply Heats Up Activity, Bidding Wars Across GTA – Toronto Area Real Estate Market Update – March 2023
In spite of historically low sales levels and high interest rates, the demand bottleneck typical of the first quarter is making its annual appearance.
Bidding Wars are Back in Toronto Real Estate
In last month’s report, I discussed the early signs I was seeing that the housing market in the Toronto area was starting the year hot. One month later, my very early interpretation of the latest data and trends appears to have been correct. After the Bank of Canada raised its interest rate a record 425 basis points starting in March of last year, one would expect this winter’s housing market to remain soft and even see prices trend down further as the market adjusts to today’s much higher interest rates. But Toronto’s housing market is defying all expectations and is starting the year more competitive than anyone expected.
While sales remained at near 20-year lows for the month of February, new listings were at a 20-year low and the imbalance between supply and demand kept the market competitive. The month of February saw just over 1,400 more homes sell when compared to the previous month, but new listings over the same period were up by only 668.
In other words, the change in sales outpaced the change in new listings by a margin of 2:1.
Looking at a weekly measure of MOI for houses and condos, it’s been trending down rapidly to start the year and inventory levels for houses during the second week of March were at their lowest level since April 2022, and, for condos, at their lowest level since May 2022.