Toronto seeing ‘historic’ market downturn with just 53 new condos sold in September: BILD

New condo sales dropped to a record low for the month of September with just 53 units sold in Toronto last month, according to new data from the Building Industry and Land Development Association.
Citing data from Altus Group, BILD said just 155 condo units were sold across the GTA last month, down 44 per cent from September 2024 and 90 per cent below the 10-year average.
“New home sales across the GTA stumbled to another record low for the month of September,” Edward Jegg, research manager at Altus Group, said in a statement accompanying the report.
“In fact, new home sales are down year-to-date across all the markets tracked by Altus Group led by Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, Hamilton, and Kitchener-Waterloo where sales have fallen by over half compared to last year.”
The report notes that across all segments, including condos and single-family homes, there were just 438 new home sales in the GTA last month, down 29 per cent from September and 80 per cent below the 10-year average.
Of the sales last month, 283 were single-family homes, down 16 per cent from the previous year and 61 per cent below the average over the last decade.
“The market downturn we are experiencing is historic and will have long-term consequences for housing affordability, the jobs that are provided by our sector, and the economic activity and revenue generated by the new residential construction sector across the country,” Justin Sherwood, chief operating officer of BILD, said in a written statement.
RECO issues freeze order, proposes to revoke registration of Oakville brokerage

The Real Estate Council of Ontario (RECO) has issued an order to freeze the bank accounts of Oakville, Ont.-based Rexig Realty Investment Group. The regulator has also issued a proposal to revoke the registrations of both the brokerage and Broker Paul Poliszot, the brokerage’s director and president.
The measures, announced Oct. 30 under the Trust in Real Estate Services Act, 2002 (TRESA), are intended to protect consumer deposits. RECO says the freeze order prevents funds from being withdrawn from the brokerage’s bank accounts. It uses freeze orders “when necessary” to ensure that money held in brokerage accounts is not at risk of being misused.
Rexig, which employs 10 agents according to the regulator, remains open. RECO says the broker of record will oversee remaining transactions and facilitate the transfer of agents and active listings to other brokerages.
How housing in Toronto has changed since the last time the Blue Jays were in the World Series

Housing was also considerably more affordable in Toronto back in 1993.
Zoocasa recently published a report highlighting these differences, particularly in the housing industry. In 1993, the average home in Toronto sold for $206,490, based on data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board. Adjusting for inflation, that would roughly cost $397,000 today.
The average price for a home in Toronto in September 2025 goes for $1,059,377, the report notes, reflecting a 417 per cent jump in prices since the Blue Jays’ last World Series championship.
Even rent was more reasonable in 1993. Based on data from the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation, a one-bedroom apartment cost $627 per month in October 1993 and a two-bedroom apartment cost $773 each month, which would be priced at around $1,206 and $1,487 respectively in today’s dollars.
The report notes the average rent for a one-bedroom in Toronto is about $2,295, as of September, and a two-bedroom was $2,941.
Canada, however, was in a deep recession in the early ‘90s, from March 1990 through May 1992, as a result of strict monetary policy, large budget deficits and inflationary pressures (meaning housing prices were decreased).
Greater Toronto home sales down 9.5% in October from last year

Toronto’s real estate board says home sales and prices were down in October from a year earlier as economic uncertainty persists.
The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales totalled 6,138, down 9.5 per cent from last year, which on a seasonally adjusted basis meant a 2.3 per cent drop in sales from September.
The board says new listings totalled 16,069, up 2.7 per cent from last year, while active listings of 27,808 were up 17.2 per cent.
Why the Interest Rate Drop to 2.25% Is a Good Sign for Homebuyers in Canada
Why the 2.25% Interest Rate Drop is the Green Light Homebuyers Have Been Waiting For 🔑

Sed ut perspiciatis unde omnis For prospective homebuyers, this isn’t a minor adjustment; it’s a significant shift that immediately enhances affordability and signals a renewed opportunity in the real estate market.
If you’ve been waiting on the sidelines, wondering when the perfect time to buy would be, this interest rate drop is your answer. Here is a breakdown of why this rate cut is fantastic news for anyone looking to secure a mortgage and purchase their dream home right now.
The Direct Financial Gain: Lower Monthly Mortgage Payments
The most immediate and tangible benefit of a rate cut is the reduction in your cost of borrowing. When the central bank lowers its benchmark rate, commercial lenders typically reduce their prime rates, leading directly to lower variable mortgage rates and influencing fixed rates.
Immediate Savings: A drop of this magnitude (whether 2.25% is the new rate or the size of the cut) translates into significant savings. Over the life of a 25-year mortgage, a small decrease in the rate can save a homeowner tens of thousands of dollars.
Improved Cash Flow: More immediately, the reduction in interest charges means a smaller portion of your monthly payments goes towards interest, freeing up essential capital for other household expenses or investments.

Boosting Buying Power and Improving Affordability
Lower interest rates are the single greatest factor in increasing a buyer’s buying power. This is critical for improving housing affordability in an often-expensive market.
Qualify for More: With lower rates, the interest component of your potential mortgage shrinks. This means that for the same comfortable monthly payment you budgeted, you can now qualify for a larger principal loan amount. This allows you to explore better neighborhoods, secure a larger property, or gain more leverage during negotiations.
Navigating the Stress Test: While the mortgage stress test uses a qualifying rate, a sustained period of lower benchmark rates often helps anchor the floor for both insured and uninsured mortgages, making it easier for buyers to pass the qualification threshold.
Encouragement for market movement & timing advantage
- When rates decline, some buyers who were waiting on the sidelines may decide to act. That means the market may become more active, giving more options.
Kelowna Real Estate - Additionally, if you lock in now, you may benefit from the favourable rate environment before lenders adjust or before competition heats up.
- From a strategic point of view: lower rates can stimulate demand, and timing buying decisions around favourable financing is smart.
Economists often suggest that the central bank’s policy decisions are designed to anchor rates for a period of time. This means the current low-rate environment offers a critical, but potentially limited-time, opportunity.
Waiting for a further rate reduction can be a high-risk gamble. The smart homebuyer secures a favorable rate now to lock in guaranteed savings for years to come. This window of improved affordability and favorable lending conditions is the ideal moment to transition from research to contract.
Conclusion
The 2.25% interest rate drop is an unmistakable good sign for the buyer. It directly translates into reduced monthly payments, significantly increased buying power, and a more stable real estate market outlook.
Don’t let this substantial financial opportunity pass you by.
👉 Ready to make your move? The first step in capitalizing on these historic low mortgage rates is understanding your personalized affordability and maximum buying power. Contact a local real estate expert today to discuss securing your pre-approval and starting your home search!
Bank of Canada lowers key interest rate to 2.25%, suggests it’s done cutting rates for now

The Bank of Canada lowered interest rates to 2.25 per cent on Wednesday, but cautioned that monetary policy can’t fix the structural economic damage caused by the U.S. trade war.
The central bank said it made the 25-basis-point cut as weakness ripples through the Canadian economy and with inflation expected to stay close to the bank’s two per cent target.
“For many months, we have been stressing that monetary policy cannot undo the damage caused by tariffs,” said Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem during a news conference in Ottawa.
Early signs suggest Canada’s economy barely managed any growth in third quarter: StatCan

Real gross domestic product declined 0.3 per cent in August and early signs suggest the economy barely managed any growth in the third quarter, Statistics Canada said Friday.
Goods-producing industries were down in August for the fifth time this year while the services side contracted for the first time in six months, StatCan said.
The agency said August’s decline mostly offsets a gain of 0.3 per cent in real GDP for July, which was revised a tick higher from earlier estimates. StatCan had initially expected flat growth for August in its advance estimate.
The agency said a work stoppage among Air Canada flight attendants hampered air transportation activity in August. That subsector was down 4.6 per cent in the month, marking its steepest decline since the COVID-19 pandemic.Drought conditions constrained hydroelectric power generation in the month, the agency said, throttling overall output from the utilities sector.
The wholesale trade industry and the mining and quarrying subsectors also posted declines, partially offset by growth in retail trade.
The tariff-sensitive manufacturing industry posted a decline of 0.5 per cent in August, but an early look at September’s real GDP figures show the sector might have rebounded last month.
Canada’s Mortgage Arrears Are Now Growing Faster Than The ’90s

Canada’s banks aren’t worried about mortgage arrears—but should they be? The arrears rate climbed again in August, according to the Canadian Bankers Association (CBA), which represents the country’s largest lenders. Investors have brushed off the rise as a return to normal after record lows. What they may not realize is that the late 1980s also saw a record low—followed by a long, painful climb. This time, it’s rising even faster.
September home sales up 5% as real estate association expects strong end to the year

OTTAWA — The Canadian Real Estate Association has upgraded its forecast for home sales in 2025, saying it now expects a softer decline this year as activity continues to rebound.
It comes as September home sales rose 5.2 per cent from a year ago, marking the most activity for the month since 2021.
There were 39,700 home sales across the country last month, up from 37,721 in September 2024.
The uptick is unsurprising, said Brendon Cowans, a sales representative for Toronto-based brokerage Property.ca, who said September’s interest rate cut has led to improved sentiment.
“I’m seeing slightly more activity, bidding wars are coming back in certain segments,” Cowans said.

