What to watch in commercial real estate in 2026: Retail sector

The retail sector has become a hot spot in the commercial real estate market, Marcus & Millichap CEO Hessam Nadji tells Yahoo Finance.
Watch the video above to learn more about what to watch in the commercial retail real estate space in 2026.
To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Catalysts.
Michael Geller: How B.C. real estate is shaping up for the year ahead

During the past year, I was often asked what I thought would happen to Vancouver’s housing market. My response was simple. There is no Vancouver housing market.
There is a downtown highrise market which differs from the Fraser Valley townhouse market. Similarly, there are rental housing markets and ownership markets catering to first-time buyers, move-up buyers and last-time buyers.
Canada’s population estimates, third quarter 2025

The interest rate for variable-rate mortgages was 3.97 per cent at the end of October compared with 4.21 per cent for all insured residential mortgages and 4.39 per cent for five-year and above fixed residential mortgages, according to the Bank of Canada.
Posthaste: 2026 might prove perilous for Canadians who piled into variable mortgages this year, Desjardins warns

Preliminary demographic estimates indicate that Canada’s population decreased by 76,068 people (-0.2%) over the third quarter of 2025, standing at 41,575,585 on October 1, 2025.
These preliminary estimates—which will be updated in upcoming releases following the usual process from Statistics Canada’s Demographic Estimates Program—show that the population decrease was mainly due to a drop in non-permanent residents. This trend is the result of changing government policies concerning international migration.
Bank of Canada holds key interest rate at 2.25%, saying economy has proved ‘resilient’

The Bank of Canada held its key interest rate at 2.25 per cent on Wednesday, a move that was widely expected after an encouraging round of third-quarter data showed the Canadian economy has withstood some trade war-induced turmoil.
The current rate is at “about the right level” to give the economy a boost through a “structural transition,” while also keeping inflation close to its two per cent target rate, central bank governor Tiff Macklem said in his opening remarks.
“Nevertheless, uncertainty remains high and the range of possible outcomes is wider than usual. If the outlook changes, we are prepared to respond,” he said.
Markets bet Bank of Canada hikes by late 2026 after jobs surprise

Markets increasingly expect the Bank of Canada’s next move will be a rate hike next year, as the country’s unexpected labour market strength suggests further monetary easing may not be needed despite U.S. tariffs.
Traders in overnight swaps are now fully pricing a hike from the central bank by October 2026. Just a day earlier, markets were assigning some probability of Governor Tiff Macklem and his officials cutting borrowing costs over the next year.
GTA REALTORS Release November Stats

Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales, new listings, and average selling price were down compared to a year earlier in November 2024. Intending homebuyers remained on the sidelines awaiting more positive economic news.
“There are many GTA households who want to take advantage of lower borrowing costs and more favourable selling prices. What they need most is confidence in their long-term employment outlook. Fortunately, we saw encouraging news on jobs and the broader economy in November. If this positive momentum continues, consumer confidence will strengthen, and more people will be in a position to consider purchasing a home in 2026,” said TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule.
GTA REALTORS® reported 5,010 home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in November 2025 – down by 15.8 per cent compared to November 2024. New listings entered into the MLS® System amounted to 11,134 – down by four per cent year-over-year.
Toronto condo projects stall as buyers stay away, leaving thousands of units frozen

Builders have given up trying to sell thousands of condo units in Toronto over the past five years, data shows, as the city’s housing market grinds almost to a complete standstill.
Between 2020 and 2025, 25 projects have stopped sales on more than 3,200 new units in and around Toronto, numbers pulled together by the Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD) reveal.
Say goodbye to rent control, indefinite leases if Ontario passes housing proposal: advocates

Ontario’s planned new housing legislation could open the door to ending rent control and indefinite leases across the province, advocates warn after a recent proposal by Premier Doug Ford’s government.
The Ford government introduced a new housing bill on Thursday that it says would streamline approvals and let developers build homes more quickly.
But buried in the legislation is a proposal for “alternative options to lease expiry rules that could allow landlords to control who occupies their units and for how long,” including through adjustments to rental arrangements based on “market conditions, personal needs or business strategies,” according to the province’s briefing slides Thursday.


