Housing market fairly stable in July, conditions growing for more active market: CREA

OTTAWA – Canada’s housing market softened slightly in July from a month earlier as sales of existing homes dipped and new listings inched up, the Canadian Real Estate Association said.
Sales were down 0.7 per cent from June when seasonally adjusted, though up 4.8 per cent from a year earlier, while new listings were up 0.9 per cent on a month-over-month basis.
The small pullback in July came despite a second rate cut from the Bank of Canada late in the month. While the start of cuts haven’t yet translated into a notable bump in sales, conditions are starting to shift, said CREA chair James Mabey in a statement Thursday.
US New-Home Sales Surge to Highest Level Since May 2023

(Bloomberg) — New-home sales in the US bounced back to the highest level since May 2023 as buyers took advantage of lower mortgage rates and more listings to choose from.
Contract signings on new single-family homes increased 10.6% last month to a 739,000 annual rate, reflecting gains in all four major regions, government data Friday showed. The pace beat all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists.
The pickup in sales suggests the combination of lower mortgage rates and generous sales incentives by builders is starting to take root. Prospective buyers are finding more options in the new-home market as the supply of existing homes is still very constrained. Asking prices are also more competitive compared to the resale market.
How much do you need to earn to buy a home? Canadian minimum income lowered last month

Buying a home in Canada became slightly easier in July, according to a new report that cites dropping mortgage rates and lowering average home prices.
The minimum income required to purchase a home dipped last month across the 13 major cities studied by Ratehub.ca, according to their recent blog post.
Canadian Real Estate Is Stable, Toronto Condos Are An Exception: BMO

No news is good news, especially for real estate investors looking for markets to stabilize. BMO Capital Markets dived into existing home resale data, and found little movement in July. Inventory is outpacing sales but they believe stocks are largely just being replenished. Toronto condos are a notable exception, where they are starting to see a supply glut. Considering Toronto real estate led Canada’s markets on the way up, it’s worth paying attention to see if it leads on the way down.
Canine, marine teams added to search for missing Ontario realtor

Police have deployed canine units, marine support and rescue teams in a massive effort to find an Ontario realtor who disappeared in “suspicious” circumstances.
York Regional Police said homicide detectives are leading the investigation into the disappearance of 56-year-old Yuk-Ying (Anita) Mui, who was last seen on Friday.
She was seen at her home around 9:30 a.m. Friday, police previously said, when she left her home near Baycliffe Road and Warden Avenue.
Toronto Mortgage Delinquency Rate Doubles, Hits 8 Year High

Canadian mortgage borrowers are finding out fast that Toronto real estate isn’t always a path to riches. Equifax data shows Toronto mortgage delinquencies climbed in Q1 2024, and now sit at the highest rate in 8 years. Except back then the rate was falling as the market improved, and it’s heading in the wrong direction now. As investors try to unload into the weakest demand balance on record, the rate is likely to continue rising in the near term.
How to qualify for a mortgage when your current income doesn’t cut it

It’s a common tale across Canada.
People see rates coming down; they want to buy a home — perhaps because they don’t think prices will stay down for long — but they can’t prove enough income to get a mortgage.
What to do? Well, unless you’re a new professional like a doctor or dentist, or you qualify for rigid niche lending programs, or you can get approved based on a significant net worth, major banks will likely show you the door.
Fortunately, big banks don’t completely monopolize Canada’s mortgage market. Alternative lenders will often lend you more based on your overall ability to pay. And that ability doesn’t just rest on your income today.
CREA Predicts 2025 Will Be A “Slam Dunk” For Home Sales, Despite Slow July

After a somewhat promising June, data from Canadian Real Estate Association’s (CREA) July 2024 statistics report reveals housing market activity effectively stalled in July, despite the July 24 interest rate cut.
In June, the “fledgling” market saw slight increases in month-over month sales, tighter year-over-year market conditions, and the national average home price increase for the first time in 11 months. But in July, progress halted, with home sales ticking down 0.7% from June’s 3.7% month-over-month increase. According to the report, decreases were minimal in larger centres, and drops in the GTA and Calgary markets were largely offset by increased sales activity in Edmonton and Hamilton-Burlington.
Experienced buyer/investor bump in key detached housing markets in the GTA, GVA and Fraser Valley signals watershed moment, says RE/MAX

TORONTO, Aug. 15, 2024 /CNW/ — With first-time buyers locked out of the country’s most expensive housing markets, the move-up/down segments, as well as investors, have been fuelling detached home-buying activity in the first six months of 2024 in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), Greater Vancouver Area (GVA) and Fraser Valley, according to a report released today by RE/MAX Canada.
The RE/MAX Hot Pocket Communities Report surveyed 83 markets in the GTA, the GVA and the Fraser Valley, and found that close to 40 per cent of markets (33/83) reported an increase in detached housing values in the first half of the year, while 30 per cent reported an upswing in the number of sales (25/83). The Greater Toronto Area’s 416 area code led the other regions in rebounding sales momentum, with just over 34 per cent of neighbourhoods stable or experiencing growth in detached home-buying activity—ahead of the 905, Greater Vancouver and Fraser Valley. Limited inventory levels in Greater Vancouver and the Fraser Valley are supporting price appreciation in the detached home category, with Fraser Valley leading with 83.3 per cent (5/6) of local areas noting an upswing in average price, followed by Greater Vancouver with 70.6 per cent of neighbourhoods marking an increase in median values.