Canada’s Real Estate Bubble Is So Big A $91k Price Drop Only Wipes Out 3 Months
Just how big is Canada’s real estate bubble? Canadians, especially in the real estate industry, are already warning rate hikes are damaging the economy. While large price drops sound scary, no one had realized how scary large price gains had become. A typical home can drop the equivalent of a median household’s income, and only roll back to last December — wiping out just 3 months of gains.
If Canadian Home Prices Drop $91k, They’ll Only Wipe Out Q1 Gains
Canadian home prices would need to make a nearly six-digit drop to reverse just the gains made this year. The composite benchmark for a home across the country reached $887,100 in March, up $91,600 from December 2021. Not a mistake. That’s the increase over just the first 3-months of the year — an average of $30k/month, according to CREA.
Canadian Building Permit Values Fell As Housing Demand Softens From Peak
Canadian future building construction intentions tapered as interest rates climbed, shows permit data. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the value of building permits, a leading indicator, made a small dive in March. Future building plans remain elevated compared to pre-2020. However, residential plans slowed as expected after record building activity.
Canadian Building Permit Values Fell 9% In March
Canadian building permits took a dip in the latest numbers. The value of building permits reached $11.7 billion in March, down 9.3% from a month before. While down, future building intentions remain 5.2% higher than last year — at least in dollar terms. The non-residential sector was behind the monthly drop. Annual growth was slowed by reduced plans for residential building.
Read More: https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-building-permit-values-fell-as-housing-demand-softens-from-peak/
Increased Immigration is Critical for Canada’s Long-term Prosperity
We were very intrigued by their bold mission to advocate for policies and programs that would increase Canada’s population to 100 million by 2100. The Century Initiative argues that our long-term success depends on our ability to scale our population over the course of this century while ensuring that infrastructure development, social programs, and public support for this expansion keep pace.
Why is immigration so important?
Their view is that the world is changing at a rapid pace, and Canada is falling behind. With an aging population, low birth rate, and shrinking workforce, Canada’s annual GDP growth will decline, along with our influence on the world stage if we don’t take action to significantly increase immigration. Without immigration, Canada’s population will start to shrink in twenty years given our inability to naturally replace our aging population with new births. According to The Conference Board of Canada, by 2033 immigration will be the sole factor driving population growth in Canada.1
Read More: https://greybrook.com/increased-immigration-critical-for-canadas-long-term-prosperity/
Hong Kongers are purchasing homes in the UK, Canada, and Australia.
Hong Kong’s roiling political shift and lackluster COVID-19 response has led to an influx of Hong Kong citizens flooding real-estate markets across the UK, Canada, and Australia.
The exodus has been several years in the making. In 2020, China implemented a restrictive national security law in the city-state, and many residents feared the loss of democratic freedom. Disdain towards their home city grew even stronger during the Covid-19 pandemic, as Hong Kong aligned itself with China’s strict zero-Covid strategy. Hong Kong’s 7.5 million residents faced mass testings, strict curfews, and chaotic lockdowns during its fifth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic earlier this year. And up until recently, anyone traveling into Hong Kong was forced to endure — and pay for — a strict three-week quarantine.
Read More: https://apple.news/ABboIHeFkRN24JjwYNIyPvQ
The standard home in Canada now costs twice as much as in the U.S. A plan to rein in the ‘stunning’ boom is a test for both housing markets
Johnny Chen, 33, received a promotion and sizeable salary bump in March, but it hasn’t helped his six-month search for a single-family home in Vancouver, Canada. Chen, a director of equity sales and trading at an investment bank who falls into Canada’s top income bracket, scrolls through online home listings every day. But the city’s low volume of homes for sale means there’s not much to see. A half-year into his hunt, he’s yet to make an offer on a place. “I’m a bit trigger shy… it’s hard to wrap my head around prices right now. Vancouver’s real estate market is a bit crazy,” Chen says.
Read More: https://fortune.com/2022/04/24/us-housing-market-home-prices-canada-2022-budget/
Real estate firm increases house price forecast for Greater Toronto Area in 2022
Royal LePage is raising its forecast for 2022, despite some signs suggesting that the real estate market might finally be moderating after a frenzied run up in prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The real estate brokerage had initially forecast Canadian home prices to rise by 10.5 per cent in 2022 but it now says that it expects prices to be up 15 per cent by the fourth quarter of 2022, driven by a continued acceleration in the Greater Toronto Area.
The adjustment is being partially attributed to a record breaking first quarter, in which the average price of a Canadian home rose 25.1 per cent year-over-year to $856,900.
Housing Takes Centre Stage in Budget 2022
n April 7, the Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, the Honourable Chrystia Freeland tabled “A Plan to Grow Our Economy and Make Life More Affordable”, the first budget of the 44th parliamentary session. As anticipated, this budget is heavily focused on addressing the housing crisis in Canada and acknowledges the importance of housing to both individual Canadians and the Canadian economy.
In her address to Parliament, the Deputy Prime Minister stated: “Housing is a basic human need, but it is also an economic imperative. Our economy is built by people, and people need homes in which to live. But Canada does not have enough homes. We need more of them, fast.”
Read More: https://news2me.crea.ca/2022/april-2022/housing-took-centre-stage-in-budget-2022/
Toronto proposes at 49% increase to development charges
Under these proposed DC rates, this would translate into charges of about $9.6mm for the one bedroom suites and $9.8mm for the two bedroom suites, totaling over $19.4mm in DCs alone. But keep in mind that there would be other charges on top of this for parkland dedication, community benefits, and a bunch of other things.
Read More: https://brandondonnelly.com/2022/04/13/toronto-proposes-at-49-increase-to-development-charges/
Ottawa to Implement Canada-Wide Anti-Flipping Tax
The federal government announced on Thursday that it is officially seeking to implement an anti-flipping tax on homeowners across Canada.
The proposed tax, included in the 2022 Federal Budget put forward by Minister of Finance Chrystia Freeland on Thursday, would affect homeowners who sell a principal residence that they’ve held for less than 12 months. According to the budget, the profits from this type of sale would be taxed as business income — a change from current Canadian legislation which allowed a capital gains tax exemption on all principal residences.