Toronto’s housing market is still showing no signs of a rebound

Toronto’s housing market remained stuck in neutral this fall, with no sign of a rebound as home sales and prices continued to slide.
October data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) showed home sales dropped 9.5% year-over-year to 6,138 transactions, while new listings climbed and average prices fell, leaving buyers with more options but little urgency to act.
“We’ve seen that prices are still down since the summer,” Taz Zaide, mortgage agent at 6ix Mortgage Group, told Canadian Mortgage Professional. “We’ve started doing appraisals now for properties that are coming up for closings and what we’re seeing is that the values are coming in lower than when they purchased back in June, July, even August.
Bank of Canada considered waiting longer to cut interest rate, deliberations show

The Bank of Canada’s decision to cut the key overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.25 per cent last month was driven by a soft labour market, tepid growth expectations, and a clearer idea of the impact of the trade war initiated by the United States.
The central bank’s governing council determined that the rate cut could help support the economy through the structural change prompted by the trade upheaval, so long as inflation remains in check. However, there were differences of opinion about the timing of the cut, according to a statement of deliberations released Wednesday.
Budget’s housing promises not enough to solve affordability, supply issues: advocates

Housing advocates are lamenting “missed opportunities” in last week’s federal budget, saying more effort will be needed to accelerate home construction and bring prices down.
The Liberal government’s 2025 budget tabled Nov. 4 — its first under Prime Minister Mark Carney — pledged to spend $25 billion on housing over the next five years. The budget noted Canada’s “steep housing supply gap,” with the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. estimating 430,000 to 480,000 new housing units are needed per year in the next decade in order to restore affordability to 2019 levels.
That would represent around double the current pace of home construction across the country. Canadian Home Builders’ Association CEO Kevin Lee called it an “aspirational” target and said there’s still much that would need to change in order to achieve it, including when it comes to federal policy.
Rent prices falling the fastest in B.C., but remain most expensive in Canada: report

The price to rent a condo or apartment in British Columbia is falling the fastest in the country, though it still remains Canada’s most expensive province, according to a new report.
Rentals.ca released its monthly rent report Thursday, finding that the average monthly price in B.C was $2,401 in October, down 5.8 per cent from this time last year and 9.6 per cent lower than two years ago.
On the city level, municipalities in B.C. were among those with the largest rent decreases year-over-year. The average price for purpose-built apartments and condos fell 15.5 per cent in Coquitlam, 12.9 per cent in New Westminster and 12.5 per cent in Surrey.
Among Canada’s large cities, rent in Vancouver has fallen the most, down 7.4 per cent since last October to an average of $2,728 per month.
Average prices in Vancouver, the country’s second-most expensive city to rent in, reached a 43-month low in October, down 11.4 per cent over the past three years.
When it comes to shared accommodation, Vancouver also led all cities with a 16.7 per cent annual drop in rent, reaching $1,241 per month, though it simultaneously held its lead as the city with the highest rent for that type of home.
Toronto seeing ‘historic’ market downturn with just 53 new condos sold in September: BILD

New condo sales dropped to a record low for the month of September with just 53 units sold in Toronto last month, according to new data from the Building Industry and Land Development Association.
Citing data from Altus Group, BILD said just 155 condo units were sold across the GTA last month, down 44 per cent from September 2024 and 90 per cent below the 10-year average.
“New home sales across the GTA stumbled to another record low for the month of September,” Edward Jegg, research manager at Altus Group, said in a statement accompanying the report.
“In fact, new home sales are down year-to-date across all the markets tracked by Altus Group led by Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, Hamilton, and Kitchener-Waterloo where sales have fallen by over half compared to last year.”
The report notes that across all segments, including condos and single-family homes, there were just 438 new home sales in the GTA last month, down 29 per cent from September and 80 per cent below the 10-year average.
Of the sales last month, 283 were single-family homes, down 16 per cent from the previous year and 61 per cent below the average over the last decade.
“The market downturn we are experiencing is historic and will have long-term consequences for housing affordability, the jobs that are provided by our sector, and the economic activity and revenue generated by the new residential construction sector across the country,” Justin Sherwood, chief operating officer of BILD, said in a written statement.
RECO issues freeze order, proposes to revoke registration of Oakville brokerage

The Real Estate Council of Ontario (RECO) has issued an order to freeze the bank accounts of Oakville, Ont.-based Rexig Realty Investment Group. The regulator has also issued a proposal to revoke the registrations of both the brokerage and Broker Paul Poliszot, the brokerage’s director and president.
The measures, announced Oct. 30 under the Trust in Real Estate Services Act, 2002 (TRESA), are intended to protect consumer deposits. RECO says the freeze order prevents funds from being withdrawn from the brokerage’s bank accounts. It uses freeze orders “when necessary” to ensure that money held in brokerage accounts is not at risk of being misused.
Rexig, which employs 10 agents according to the regulator, remains open. RECO says the broker of record will oversee remaining transactions and facilitate the transfer of agents and active listings to other brokerages.
How housing in Toronto has changed since the last time the Blue Jays were in the World Series

Housing was also considerably more affordable in Toronto back in 1993.
Zoocasa recently published a report highlighting these differences, particularly in the housing industry. In 1993, the average home in Toronto sold for $206,490, based on data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board. Adjusting for inflation, that would roughly cost $397,000 today.
The average price for a home in Toronto in September 2025 goes for $1,059,377, the report notes, reflecting a 417 per cent jump in prices since the Blue Jays’ last World Series championship.
Even rent was more reasonable in 1993. Based on data from the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation, a one-bedroom apartment cost $627 per month in October 1993 and a two-bedroom apartment cost $773 each month, which would be priced at around $1,206 and $1,487 respectively in today’s dollars.
The report notes the average rent for a one-bedroom in Toronto is about $2,295, as of September, and a two-bedroom was $2,941.
Canada, however, was in a deep recession in the early ‘90s, from March 1990 through May 1992, as a result of strict monetary policy, large budget deficits and inflationary pressures (meaning housing prices were decreased).
Greater Toronto home sales down 9.5% in October from last year

Toronto’s real estate board says home sales and prices were down in October from a year earlier as economic uncertainty persists.
The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales totalled 6,138, down 9.5 per cent from last year, which on a seasonally adjusted basis meant a 2.3 per cent drop in sales from September.
The board says new listings totalled 16,069, up 2.7 per cent from last year, while active listings of 27,808 were up 17.2 per cent.
Why the Interest Rate Drop to 2.25% Is a Good Sign for Homebuyers in Canada
Why the 2.25% Interest Rate Drop is the Green Light Homebuyers Have Been Waiting For 🔑

Sed ut perspiciatis unde omnis For prospective homebuyers, this isn’t a minor adjustment; it’s a significant shift that immediately enhances affordability and signals a renewed opportunity in the real estate market.
If you’ve been waiting on the sidelines, wondering when the perfect time to buy would be, this interest rate drop is your answer. Here is a breakdown of why this rate cut is fantastic news for anyone looking to secure a mortgage and purchase their dream home right now.
The Direct Financial Gain: Lower Monthly Mortgage Payments
The most immediate and tangible benefit of a rate cut is the reduction in your cost of borrowing. When the central bank lowers its benchmark rate, commercial lenders typically reduce their prime rates, leading directly to lower variable mortgage rates and influencing fixed rates.
Immediate Savings: A drop of this magnitude (whether 2.25% is the new rate or the size of the cut) translates into significant savings. Over the life of a 25-year mortgage, a small decrease in the rate can save a homeowner tens of thousands of dollars.
Improved Cash Flow: More immediately, the reduction in interest charges means a smaller portion of your monthly payments goes towards interest, freeing up essential capital for other household expenses or investments.

Boosting Buying Power and Improving Affordability
Lower interest rates are the single greatest factor in increasing a buyer’s buying power. This is critical for improving housing affordability in an often-expensive market.
Qualify for More: With lower rates, the interest component of your potential mortgage shrinks. This means that for the same comfortable monthly payment you budgeted, you can now qualify for a larger principal loan amount. This allows you to explore better neighborhoods, secure a larger property, or gain more leverage during negotiations.
Navigating the Stress Test: While the mortgage stress test uses a qualifying rate, a sustained period of lower benchmark rates often helps anchor the floor for both insured and uninsured mortgages, making it easier for buyers to pass the qualification threshold.
Encouragement for market movement & timing advantage
- When rates decline, some buyers who were waiting on the sidelines may decide to act. That means the market may become more active, giving more options.
Kelowna Real Estate - Additionally, if you lock in now, you may benefit from the favourable rate environment before lenders adjust or before competition heats up.
- From a strategic point of view: lower rates can stimulate demand, and timing buying decisions around favourable financing is smart.
Economists often suggest that the central bank’s policy decisions are designed to anchor rates for a period of time. This means the current low-rate environment offers a critical, but potentially limited-time, opportunity.
Waiting for a further rate reduction can be a high-risk gamble. The smart homebuyer secures a favorable rate now to lock in guaranteed savings for years to come. This window of improved affordability and favorable lending conditions is the ideal moment to transition from research to contract.
Conclusion
The 2.25% interest rate drop is an unmistakable good sign for the buyer. It directly translates into reduced monthly payments, significantly increased buying power, and a more stable real estate market outlook.
Don’t let this substantial financial opportunity pass you by.
👉 Ready to make your move? The first step in capitalizing on these historic low mortgage rates is understanding your personalized affordability and maximum buying power. Contact a local real estate expert today to discuss securing your pre-approval and starting your home search!


